Auto-Regressive, Moving, Average

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Feb. 12th, 2010 @ 07:55 pm

Erica Janine, born 6:27pm. Everybody is happy and healthy.

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Jan. 28th, 2010 @ 08:06 pm

Testing my mobile posting functionality...

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State of the Union Jan. 28th, 2010 @ 11:16 am
OK, I've all but abandoned LJ, but this is too big for Facebook, so here goes.

The two most interesting parts of the State of the Union:

1) Obama tells the convocation that the Supreme Court has just made a terrible mistake in allowing unlimited corporate contributions to political campaigns. Of course, the Supreme Court justices sit right up front. The camera zooms in on them. The liberal justices, who are almost certainly shouting "YES YES YES" in their heads, sit perfectly still - a model of either a) the appearance of judicial detachment, or b) uncomfortable proximity to the grave (take your pick which one; they aren't mutually exclusive, of course). Alito, who by rights could have leaned back and smiled a smug little triumphal smile, instead furrows his brow and shakes his head. This is literally the first time I've ever seen a justice react in the SOTU (over maybe seven or eight? I'm not THAT old...). Not a good sign for the politicization of the Supreme Court.

2) Michelle Obama telling the entire federal government to sit the fuck down.
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libertarians v "progressives" Sep. 7th, 2009 @ 10:43 am
Arnold Kling on conservatives, libertarians, and progressives:
I continue to believe in a simple model of the differences between C, L, and P. The conservative thinks that wisdom resides in long-practiced cultural norms. The libertarian believes that wisdom resides in individual choices. And the progressive believes that wisdom resides with progressive elites.
My response:

Your C,L,P model's definition of "P" seems too transparently pejorative. Why not define all that way? C thinks that wisdom resides in institutional elites, who enforce the mores of the "traditional" culture (which includes, in the US, markets, religion, and generally Anglo-Saxon practices). L believes that wisdom resides in entrepreneurial elites, who can improve societry best when individual choices are aligned with market incentives. And P believes in a progressive elite, the set of people who try to improve society by advancing some (non-market) concept of the "general welfare".

I'd stress the similarity (in addition to the obvious differences) of L and P under this scheme - both agree that new ideas can improve society, and that they must be tried through one mechanism or another. Libertarians believe the market efficiently selects these ideas. Progressives believe some political or consensus-based process will select out the good from the bad. Conservatives believe in the "old ways" and are generally skeptical of the prospect of new ideas improving society. The questions are progress v stasis and markets vs (and here I'm a little vexed, as an economist) community, or society, or simply "not markets".
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comparisons Aug. 17th, 2009 @ 08:25 am
The inevitable comparisons of our old and new environs, in no particular order. Which is better, in which dimensions, Ann Arbor or Urbana?

Scenery: Ann Arbor
Farmer's Market: Ann Arbor
Public Library: Urbana
Internal logic of roadways: Urbana
Downtown: Ann Arbor
Shopping opportunities: Ann Arbor
Bike-friendliness: Toss-up? There seems to be more of a "bike culture" here, and more effort of accommodate bikers, but the roadways (see above), hills, and mass of bikers make it less clear-cut. I may revise my opinion as I bike more here.
Free cookies at grocery stores (apparently a key indicator in our family's quality-of-life): Urbana
Used, second-hand, and "urban recycling" outlets: Ann Arbor
Curbside recycling: Urbana
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the move Aug. 5th, 2009 @ 08:39 am
Today's the day of the Big Load. Most stuff goes on the truck today, and we leave town for good tomorrow. The internet gets cut some time today (and Comcast is an asshole), so we may not have access for a while. So, I'll take the time to say g'bye to all the C-U folk, and if you need to get a hold of me, call me. If you don't know my number, you probably don't need to get a hold of me.

Jul. 29th, 2009 @ 07:31 am
Somehow, whenever Laney runs into something with her head and I call her "Bonk-ee Moon", I think that she misses my delicious punning reference to international diplomacy.
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baby Jul. 28th, 2009 @ 04:57 pm
Baby #2 is on radar...

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latte sipping Jul. 19th, 2009 @ 12:35 pm
How do I know I'm becoming a snob? I'm more and more convinced that the best part of the Sunday New York Times is the Book Review section.
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three little letters Jul. 16th, 2009 @ 03:56 pm
I am today a Doctor of Philosophy in the field of Economics.
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